Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.511522 1.728935 1.966848 2.246569 2.566538 2.921245 3.344486
2024-12-22 1.177739 1.470789 1.820588 2.269157 2.829662 3.507699 4.391515
2024-12-29 0.994093 1.318122 1.728540 2.287060 3.028495 3.980740 5.299758
2025-01-05 0.842109 1.172769 1.612445 2.240673 3.117148 4.299613 6.021581
2025-01-12 0.725118 1.053688 1.509370 2.188594 3.177999 4.571125 6.690149
2025-01-19 0.627440 0.947025 1.407229 2.119637 3.198238 4.776231 7.272011
2025-01-26 0.601019 0.939486 1.444094 2.253027 3.522290 5.446172 8.601069
2025-02-02 0.577611 0.932678 1.479336 2.384556 3.852756 6.152589 10.052938
2025-02-09 0.549008 0.913761 1.492452 2.480201 4.132682 6.802075 11.473980
2025-02-16 0.512417 0.877470 1.473202 2.519420 4.321478 7.318011 12.720316
2025-02-23 0.464843 0.817616 1.408802 2.475293 4.363457 7.590118 13.572509
2025-03-02 0.426465 0.769518 1.359160 2.450480 4.433974 7.913148 14.538731
2025-03-09 0.397041 0.735114 1.331231 2.463445 4.576515 8.381963 15.827706
2025-03-16 0.370141 0.702702 1.303862 2.474789 4.717277 8.860916 17.185337
2025-03-23 0.347314 0.675437 1.282914 2.495169 4.875203 9.383120 18.672704
2025-03-30 0.317671 0.632166 1.227859 2.444465 4.890488 9.634350 19.651260
2025-04-06 0.290389 0.590838 1.172592 2.387601 4.887110 9.846786 20.568940
2025-04-13 0.263817 0.548379 1.111198 2.312308 4.838569 9.963228 21.297104
2025-04-20 0.263031 0.558589 1.155727 2.457957 5.258439 11.066617 24.209135
2025-04-27 0.261591 0.567222 1.197608 2.601582 5.686833 12.225040 27.352355
2025-05-04 0.256172 0.566780 1.220379 2.706028 6.039847 13.253962 30.309276
2025-05-11 0.245502 0.553845 1.215342 2.748856 6.260460 14.014367 32.732735
2025-05-18 0.228056 0.524205 1.171460 2.700668 6.271315 14.310458 34.111868